Tag: FPTP
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Why mid-term MRPs might be understating the Liberal Democrats
Recent polls have shown the Liberal Democrats struggling to increase their vote share nationwide, lagging behind their 2019 result. The hope for Lib Dems is that a falling tide drops (sinks?) all boats, with Lib Dem candidates winning where the Tory vote collapses, even without being the direct beneficiaries. Projections using Uniform Swing and Multilevel…
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MRes Dissertation: Quantifying substantive representation of ethnic minorities
In August I completed my dissertation for the Master of Research in Advanced Quantitative Methods at the University of Bristol. Quantifying substantive representation of ethnic minorities in the House of Commons, 2010-2020 Geography and substantive representation of ethnic minorities under single-member plurality electoral rules Under single-member district electoral systems, geography is paramount. This is particularly…
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New York Times – U.K. Voters’ Frustration High as 99% Are Sidelined in Prime Minister Election
My quote from this piece in the New York Times, about the Conservative leadership contest and dissatisfaction with politics. Most galling for many is that the decision lies with the Tories, whose party members are determined to have Brexit delivered by Oct. 31 at any cost. That view has been rejected by the majority of…
Owen Winter 