Tag: Wales
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Projecting results under the new Welsh constituency boundaries
Today, the Boundary Commission for Wales published its revised proposals for the 2023 Parliamentary Review. This includes 32 constituencies to replace the current 40. Here, I use demographic data to project the 2019 election results under the new boundaries. In 2019, Labour won 22 MPs, the Conservatives 14 and Plaid Cymru 4. The new boundaries…
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As English identity declines, will British nationalism be activated in England as it has in Scotland and Wales?
English national identity has been the topic of breathless discussion and debate for the past few years. In the aftermath of the 2014 Scottish Independence Referendum, David Cameron announced that “the millions of voices of England must also be heard.” In 2015, the Conservatives raised the spectre of Scottish nationalism in a bid to win…
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How might the 2021 Senedd election have looked under the proposed new system?
My blog for Make Votes Matter on the proposed Senedd electoral system. Yesterday, Mark Drakeford and Adam Price published a “joint position statement” on Senedd reform. The agreement proposed the use of a closed list D’Hondt PR system to elect 96 Members of the Senedd (MSs). The system would have 16 constituencies, each electing 6…
Owen Winter 