Tag: Polling

  • Most of the “new PM polling bounce” occurs before they take office

    Most of the “new PM polling bounce” occurs before they take office

    There has been a lot of discussion lately about Liz Truss’s expected ‘poll bounce’. Pundits argue that new Prime Ministers get a boost in support from voters as they introduce themselves to the country and announce policies setting the tone of their leadership. I have used polling data from PollBasePro and Politico to consider what…

  • Labour stands to gain in the metro mayor elections

    As May 21st’s ‘Super Thursday’ elections come into view, all eyes are on whether Nicola Sturgeon will secure her majority for independence, and whether Labour will cling on in Hartlepool. But Super Tuesday also features 8 of England’s biggest electoral tests, in the form of combined authority mayoral elections. These elections will give individual politicians…

  • What’s up with the Sunday Times MRP projection?

    What’s up with the Sunday Times MRP projection?

    All over Twitter today has been discussion of a Sunday Times MRP model which reportedly showed that if an election were held today, Boris Johnson would lose his majority and his seat. It’s a striking result but not totally inconsistent with recent national polls which have shown Labour making gains. It caught my attention, though,…

  • Less Than a Third of Adults Believe Britain’s Democracy is Worth Celebrating

    This was originally posted as a HuffPost article: Less Than a Third of Adults Believe Britain’s Democracy is Worth Celebrating Monday 2 July marked the beginning of the Government’s ‘National Democracy Week’, a week long celebration of British democracy which coincided with the 90th anniversary of equal voting rights for women. However, not everyone is in…

  • Make Votes Matter Polling, 8th-11th June 2018

    A new poll by ICM, on behalf of Make Votes Matter, shows overwhelming support for PR. Tables here: ICM-Omnibus-National-Democracy-Week Q1. The government has recently announced plans for ‘National Democracy Week’, a week-long celebration of British democracy. Do you think British democracy is something worth celebrating at the moment? Yes – 32% No – 43% Don’t know –…