Tag: Data
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Convergence between parties and Brexit vote happens in both directions
Since 2016, EU Referendum vote has been highly predictive of voting behaviour. It is well established that the Conservatives won many leave-voting Labour supporters at the 2019 election, helping to secure a huge majority. Meanwhile, Labour and the Liberal Democrats fared comparatively better in Remain-voting areas. Generally, this discussion focusses on partisan defections ’caused by’…
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2021 Metro Mayor Elections: Labour narrowly gained from the Conservatives while losing to “Did Not Vote”
The eight Combined Authority (“Metro”) Mayor elections in May 2021 were some of Labour’s most successful of the cycle. Despite poor results elsewhere, Labour managed to pick up two mayoralties directly from the Conservatives (West of England and Cambridgeshire) and a third newly created position (West Yorkshire). The gains ended up being overshadowed, partly because…
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Shopping around: 70% expect to vote for more than one party in future
Before 2019, it was pretty common on social media to see the idea that in certain places – particularly in the north of England – Labour MPs could rely on voters to reelect them no matter what they or the party did. This was never really true (and it was often laced with classism) but…
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Classifying Parliamentary Constituencies by Petition Signatures
Parliament’s official petition website (petition.parliament.uk) has gained considerable traction in recent years, bringing attention to wide-ranging issues. From 2010 to 2015, the most popular petition on the website received 328,000 signatures, with 39 more receiving over 100,000 signatures. In the 2017-2019 parliament, by contrast, the most popular petition received over 6 million signatures while 75…
Owen Winter 