Tag: BES

  • People are surprisingly good at predicting local election results

    People are surprisingly good at predicting local election results

    I have previously looked at how British Election Study respondents view local crime rates (spoiler: people are very bad at judging local crime). But I had not realised there are also questions, last asked just before the 2019 election, asking respondents which party they thought would win locally. Being honest, I expected the predictions to…