Blighty newsletter: Why the Conservatives could be kingmakers – December 2025
Our new model captures the lottery of Britain’s electoral system – December 2025
Texas Republicans have gerrymandered their way into a corner – November 2025
Four charts explain why Donald Trump is in trouble – November 2025
Zohran Mamdani lost in parts of NYC that look most like America – November 2025
Is Donald Trump as unpopular as he seems? – November 2025
A Supreme Court case could help entrench Republican power – October 2025
Bagehot: Britain’s Labour Party has no more safe seats – October 2025
Is the American left really more supportive of political violence? – September 2025
Labour has become the party of Britain’s rich – September 2025
The factions jostling for Donald Trump’s favour – August 2025
Is Britain’s Green Party too nice to emulate Reform UK? – August 2025
Democrats are likely to lose the redistricting war – August 2025
Catholics are more liberal than you might think – July 2025
What becomes of Republicans who cross King Donald? – July 2025
Our model suggests President Trump is under water in every swing state – June 2025
How young voters helped to put Trump in the White House – May 2025
“Captain Canada” Carney gains in the Maple Leaf v MAGA election – April 2025
Donald Trump’s approval rating is dropping – April 2025
The Liberal Party’s polling surge is Canada’s largest ever – April 2025
New data show that the class divide in Britain may not be so wide – March 2025
Canada’s Trumpian nightmare is the Liberal Party’s dream – March 2025
Hard-right parties are now Europe’s most popular – February 2025
Right-wing Britons are turning to e-petitions – February 2025
How will the German election be decided? – February 2025
Academic writing is getting harder to read—the humanities most of all – December 2024
Republicans finally win the coveted Trifecta – November 2024
Opinion polls underestimated Donald Trump again – November 2024
Hispanic men helped propel Donald Trump back to the White House – November 2024
Kamala Harris moves ahead—just—in our final election forecast – November 2024
A much-watched poll from Iowa points to a Harris landslide – November 2024
What to watch for on election night, and beyond – October 2024
Why Kamala Harris’s chances of victory just jumped – October 2024
Our guide to how Trump or Harris might win the election – October 2024
Gay voters are smitten with Kamala Harris – October 2024
Why Donald Trump has moved ahead in our election forecast – October 2024
Voters won’t thank Kamala Harris for the state of the economy – October 2024
Could an “October surprise” upset America’s election? – October 2024
Recent special elections bode well for Democrats – September 2024
Much keener on Trump, less sure about Charles III – September 2024
The systemic bias Kamala Harris must overcome in order to win – September 2024
Where is Kamala Harris’s convention bounce? – September 2024
To hold the Senate, Democrats have to do something extraordinary – August 2024
Good news for Kamala Harris on third-party candidates – August 2024
Our new forecast for America’s presidential election – August 2024
Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in our nationwide poll tracker – August 2024
The Kamala Harris effect on the polls has been dramatic – July 2024
Reliable numbers on Trump v Harris are scarce for now – July 2024
Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Here’s what the polls say – July 2024
Anguish about Joe Biden’s candidacy is rational, polls suggest – July 2024
How shallow was Labour’s victory in the British election? – July 2024
The Economist’s final prediction points to a Tory wipeout in Britain – June 2024
Our new “mega-poll” gives Labour an expected majority of 280 seats – June 2024
Labour is worried about safe seats with big South Asian populations – May 2024
What police commissioners tell you about the British election – May 2024
How tactical voting might affect the British election – April 2024
British Muslims’ support for Labour is wobbling – March 2024
Owen Winter 