Category: Research
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MRes Dissertation: Quantifying substantive representation of ethnic minorities
In August I completed my dissertation for the Master of Research in Advanced Quantitative Methods at the University of Bristol. Quantifying substantive representation of ethnic minorities in the House of Commons, 2010-2020 Geography and substantive representation of ethnic minorities under single-member plurality electoral rules Under single-member district electoral systems, geography is paramount. This is particularly…
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Britain is becoming more liberal on immigration, but sceptics still outweigh enthusiasts
Suella Braverman‘s recent resignation and reappointment has exposed the divides within the Conservative Party over immigration. Some, including former Prime Minister Liz Truss, believe growth should be prioritised over reducing immigration. Others, including Braverman, believe reducing immigration should be a top priority. This debate is often framed around public opinion. How much immigration are voters…
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What effect did progressive cooperation have on the 2022 English local elections?
This research was originally posted as an LSE Politics and Policy blog post, here. Across England, hundreds of wards in the local elections had only one ‘progressive’ candidate (Labour, Liberal Democrat or Green). I have tried to estimate the effect that this had on their vote shares, using a technique called “Coarsened Exact Matching” (CEM).…
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Transnational social connectedness and the 2016 referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union
This paper was produced for the Supervised Individual Study unit of the Advanced Quantitative Methods MRes at the University of Bristol. A PDF of the paper is available here, replication code and data here.
Owen Winter 